# Bibliografía
Source: https://tekrisk.com/es/docs/bibliography

Referencias bibliográficas consolidadas para QRA industrial — estándares, modelos de consecuencias, dispersión, teoría de incendios y explosiones, efecto dominó, vulnerabilidad y marco matemático

Esta página consolida todas las referencias bibliográficas citadas a lo largo de la documentación de TekRisk PRO: estándares regulatorios, libros de texto de QRA, modelos de consecuencias y dispersión, teoría de incendios y explosiones, probits de efecto dominó, modelos de vulnerabilidad y el marco matemático que sustenta la metodología.

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## 1. Estándares y Marcos de QRA

| # | Referencia |
|---|-----------|
| 1 | **CCPS** (2000). *Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis*, 2da Ed. AIChE, Nueva York. |
| 2 | **TNO** (2005). *Methods for the Calculation of Physical Effects* (Yellow Book, CPR 14E), 3ra Ed. Committee for the Prevention of Disasters, Países Bajos. |
| 3 | **TNO** (2005). *Methods for the Determination of Possible Damage* (Green Book, CPR 16E), 3ra Ed. Committee for the Prevention of Disasters, Países Bajos. |
| 4 | **TNO** (1999). *Guidelines for Quantitative Risk Assessment* (Purple Book, CPR 18E). Committee for the Prevention of Disasters, Países Bajos. |
| 5 | **UK HSE** (2001). *Reducing Risks, Protecting People (R2P2)*. Health and Safety Executive, Londres. |
| 6 | **RIVM / IPO** (2009). *Reference Manual Bevi Risk Assessments*, Versión 3.2. Bilthoven, Países Bajos. |
| 7 | **HKSAR** (1994). *Risk Guidelines for New Territories East Landfill*. Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. |
| 8 | **HIPAP No. 4** (1994). *Risk Criteria for Land Use Safety Planning*. NSW Department of Planning, Australia. |
| 9 | **ASEA** (2016). *Lineamientos para la Elaboración del Análisis de Riesgo*. Agencia de Seguridad, Energía y Ambiente, México. |
| 10 | **EPA**. *Risk Management Program Guidance*. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. |

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## 2. Libros de Texto de QRA y Seguridad de Procesos

| # | Referencia |
|---|-----------|
| 11 | **Lees, F.P.** (2012). *Loss Prevention in the Process Industries*, 4ta Ed. Butterworth-Heinemann / Elsevier, Amsterdam. |
| 12 | **Crowl, D.A. & Louvar, J.F.** (2011). *Chemical Process Safety: Fundamentals with Applications*, 3ra Ed. Prentice Hall. |
| 13 | **Casal, J.** (2008). *Evaluation of the Effects and Consequences of Major Accidents in Industrial Plants*. Elsevier. |
| 14 | **Kakosimos, K.E.** *Safety in Chemical Engineering — Complex Hazardous Activities: Preventing and Managing Industrial Disasters*. Papasotiriou Publications. |
| 15 | **Yaws, C.L.** (1999). *Chemical Properties Handbook*. McGraw-Hill, Nueva York. |

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## 3. Dispersión Atmosférica

| # | Referencia |
|---|-----------|
| 16 | **Ermak, D.L.** (1990). *User's Manual for SLAB: An Atmospheric Dispersion Model for Denser-Than-Air Releases*. UCRL-MA-105607, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA. |
| 17 | **Pasquill, F.** (1961). The estimation of the dispersion of windborne material. *Meteorological Magazine*, 90, 33–49. |
| 18 | **Monin, A.S. & Obukhov, A.M.** (1954). Basic laws of turbulent mixing in the ground layer of the atmosphere. *Tr. Geofiz. Inst. AN SSSR*, 151, 163–187. |
| 19 | **Briggs, G.A.** (1984). *Plume Rise and Buoyancy Effects*. En: Atmospheric Science and Power Production. DOE/TIC-27601. |
| 20 | **van Ulden, A.P.** (1974). On the spreading of a heavy gas released near the ground. *Proc. Loss Prevention and Safety Promotion*, Vol. 1, 221–226. |

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## 4. Modelos de Incendio

| # | Referencia |
|---|-----------|
| 21 | **Thomas, P.H.** (1963). The size of flames from natural fires. *9th International Symposium on Combustion*, pp. 844–859. |
| 22 | **Pritchard, M.J. & Binding, T.M.** (1992). *FIRE2: A new approach for predicting thermal hazards from hydrocarbon pool fires*. IChemE Symposium Series No. 130. |
| 23 | **Mudan, K.S. & Croce, P.A.** (1995). Fire hazard calculations for large open hydrocarbon fires. *SFPE Handbook of Fire Protection Engineering*. SFPE/NFPA. |
| 24 | **Chamberlain, G.A.** (1987). Developments in design methods for predicting thermal radiation from flares. *Chemical Engineering Research and Design*, 65, pp. 299–309. |

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## 5. Modelos de Explosión y Sobrepresión

| # | Referencia |
|---|-----------|
| 25 | **Brasie, W.C. & Simpson, D.W.** (1968). *Guidelines for Estimating Damage from Chemical Explosions*. 63rd National Meeting, AIChE. |
| 26 | **Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pettitt, G.N.** (1989). *Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Methodology for Gaseous Blast Waves*. IChemE Symposium Series No. 110. |
| 27 | **Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pape, R.P.** (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Tool (RISKAT). *Chemical Engineering Research and Design*, 67. |

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## 6. Efecto Dominó

| # | Referencia |
|---|-----------|
| 28 | **Cozzani, V., Gubinelli, G., Antonioni, G., Spadoni, G. & Zanelli, S.** (2006). The assessment of risk caused by domino effect in quantitative area risk analysis. *Journal of Hazardous Materials*, 127, pp. 14–30. |
| 29 | **Cozzani, V. et al.** (2006). Escalation thresholds in the assessment of domino accidental events. *Journal of Hazardous Materials*, 129(1-3), pp. 1–21. |
| 30 | **Mingguang, Z. et al.** *Probit functions for domino effect*. Correlaciones de efecto dominó alternativas. |

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## 7. Modelos de Vulnerabilidad y Probit

| # | Referencia |
|---|-----------|
| 31 | **Eisenberg, N.A., Lynch, C.J. & Breeding, R.J.** (1975). *Vulnerability Model*. CG-D-136-75. United States Coast Guard, Washington. — Ecuaciones probit originales para letalidad térmica y por sobrepresión. |
| 32 | **CCPS** (2000). *Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis*, 2da Ed. AIChE, Nueva York. — Funciones probit compiladas: fatalidad térmica $Pr = -14.9 + 2.56\ln(D/10{,}000)$ (p. 269, Eisenberg), letalidad por sobrepresión $Pr = -77.1 + 6.91\ln(P_{Pa})$ (p. 275, Eisenberg), daño estructural $Pr = -23.8 + 2.92\ln(P_{Pa})$ (p. 275), rotura de tímpano $Pr = -12.6 + 1.525\ln(P_{Pa})$, anillos de fatalidades (p. 273). |
| 33 | **Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pape, R.P.** (1989). Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Tool (RISKAT). *Chemical Engineering Research and Design*, 67. — Probit de letalidad por sobrepresión (método por defecto): $Pr = 1.47 + 1.35\ln(P_{psi})$, derivado de análisis retrospectivo de accidentes. |
| 34 | **Hurst, N.W., Nussey, C. & Pettitt, G.N.** (1989). *Development and Application of a Risk Assessment Methodology for Gaseous Blast Waves*. IChemE Symposium Series No. 110. — Metodología probit para ondas de explosión gaseosa, aplicada en el modelado de consecuencias por sobrepresión. |

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## 8. Reportes Técnicos y Referencias Atmosféricas

| # | Referencia |
|---|-----------|
| 35 | **JRC — Joint Research Centre**. *Major Accident Hazards Bureau Technical Report*. |
| 36 | **U.S. EPA / NOAA** (2013). *ALOHA Technical Documentation*. |
| 37 | **ICAO** (1976). *International Standard Atmosphere (ISA)*. ICAO Doc 7488/2. |

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## 9. Marco Matemático

| # | Referencia |
|---|-----------|
| 38 | **Arfken, G.** (1981). *Métodos matemáticos para físicos*. Editorial Diana. |
| 39 | **Arnold, V.I.** (1985). *Ordinary Differential Equations*. The MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, y Londres. |
| 40 | **Farlow, S.J.** (1993). *Partial Differential Equations for Scientists and Engineers*. Dover Publications, Inc., Nueva York. |
| 41 | **Dafermos, C.M. & Pokorný, M.** (eds.) (2008). *Handbook of Differential Equations: Ordinary Differential Equations*. Elsevier North Holland, Amsterdam, Londres. |
| 42 | **Hogben, L.** (ed.) (2007). *Handbook of Linear Algebra*. Discrete Mathematics and its Applications. Series Editor Kenneth H. Rosen. Chapman & Hall / CRC. |
| 43 | **Jordan, D.W. & Smith, P.** (1994). *Nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equations*, 2da Ed. Oxford Applied Mathematics and Computing Science Series. Clarendon Press, Oxford. |
| 44 | **Gil, A., Segura, J. & Temme, N.M.** *Numerical Methods for Special Functions*. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia. |
| 45 | **Stoll, R.R.** (1963). *Set Theory and Logic*. Dover Publications Inc., Nueva York. |
| 46 | **Suppes, P.** (1960). *Axiomatic Set Theory*. D. Van Nostrand Company Inc. |